The Real State of Real Estate…


The Real State of Real Estate…

If you’re involved with the residential rental market, you’ve probably already heard that rental rates have been going up the last couple of years.  The dramatic increase in foreclosures has left a lot of families looking for a home that’s not an apartment, leading to increased demand, which has led to increases in prices.

Most of the numbers published to support the rise in rents are national numbers.  As we’ve all learned many times here in Michigan, our housing market really doesn’t follow the national trends.

So with that mind, we thought we’d analyze some local MLS data to see what’s happening in the Metro Detroit area.

We aggregated the data for the cities of Berkley, Clawson, Huntington Woods, Pleasant Ridge & Royal Oak, as they are in fairly close proximity geographically and demographically.

We compared 4th quarter 2010 data to that of 1st quarter 2012 and found the following:

    • 13% increase in rents for 2 bedroom homes
    • 10% increase in rents for 3 bedroom homes
    • 21% increase in rents for 4-5 bedroom homes
At first glance the 21% increase in 4-5 bed home rents seems odd.  Why has rent on these homes increased the most?  A deeper look at the data shows that in 2010-Q4 it took about the same amount of time to rent out a 3 bed home as it did a 4-5 bed home.  In 2012-Q1 though, it took almost as twice as long to rent out a 4-5 bed rental as opposed to a more common 3 bed.  Furthermore, the price differential back in 2010-Q4 between the two was almost 8% and is now less than 2%.

What’s all this mean?  Well, the traditional rental model has become distorted due to the recent surge in foreclosures.  Traditionally there wasn’t a lot of demand for 4-5 bed

rental homes.  People that needed that many bedrooms typically had families and bought a home.  Demand was low and supply correspondingly also low.  Now though, due to so many families losing their homes to foreclosure, demand has shot up for these homes.  The data shows that supply really hasn’t kept pace with demand, so basic economics has led to increasing prices.  While demand has gone up for these homes, they are not in high demand as most families can get by with a 3 bed home.  So, they are taking longer to rent.

We’ll leave you with one other interesting piece of data – in 2012-Q1 it took 22% less time to rent out a 3 bed rental than it did in 2010-Q4.

If you’d like more data and/or the actual numbers behind the data, please email us!

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